In the world of crypto, solo mining a Bitcoin block is often described as a “lottery.” And like any lottery, many believe it’s out of reach for the everyday person.
But here’s the truth:
💡 Yes, it’s rare. Yes, it’s difficult. But it’s not impossible.
In fact, people are still doing it — from home, with small rigs, even with micro miners like the NerdMiner V2 or Bitaxe Gamma.
Let’s break down the chances, and more importantly, why the journey is just as exciting as the destination.
💰 What’s at Stake?
Mining a Bitcoin block today rewards you with 3.125 BTC, which is worth over $300,000 USD at current market prices. That’s a life-changing reward.
And if you’re solo mining, you keep 100% of it.
No pool fees. No shared rewards. Just you, your hardware, and the network.
📊 What Are the Odds?
Let’s be honest — the chances of solving a block on your own with small hashrate are low.
Bitcoin’s network hashrate is in the hundreds of exahashes per second (EH/s). If you're running a 1 TH/s solo miner, your odds are roughly:
1 in 1,000,000,000 (one billion) per block.
But don’t let that number scare you off. Here’s why:
🧠 The Magic of Solo Mining: Why It Still Makes Sense
✅ 1. It’s Like a Lottery, but You’re Always Playing
You’re not buying a ticket once a week.
You’re trying every 10 minutes, 24/7. And unlike traditional lotteries, you’re not paying for each attempt—you just power your rig.
Even with small devices consuming 3W–5W, you're continuously submitting valid hashes that might hit.
✅ 2. People Do Win
There are verified cases where solo miners — some with modest setups — have solved blocks.
These moments go viral in the Bitcoin community because they’re real.
You’ll see tweets like: “SOLO miner with 1.5 TH/s just hit a block!”
It happens. And when it does, it's proof that the dream is alive.
✅ 3. It’s Educational & Empowering
Solo mining forces you to learn:
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How Bitcoin works under the hood
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How to set up full nodes and connect directly
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How to optimize hardware and monitor stats
It's more than profit—it's participation in the decentralization of the Bitcoin network.
🔄 How to Improve Your Chances
Even though you can’t control luck, you can optimize your odds:
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Upgrade your hashrate (e.g., Bitaxe Gamma, NMAxe)
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Run your miner 24/7 for continuous attempts
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Ensure your network and setup is stable (no downtime!)
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Join the community to learn from real solo miners
✨ Final Thoughts: Keep Hashing, Stay Inspired
Yes, solo mining is a long shot. But so was Bitcoin itself in 2009.
And every 10 minutes, there's a new chance.
Whether you're mining with a tiny NerdMiner on your desk or building a fleet of Bitaxes in your garage, you're part of something special.
You're not just chasing blocks—
You’re living the true spirit of Bitcoin.
So keep mining, stay curious, and remember:
🎟️ All it takes is one block. And it could be yours.